- My macro view remains the same that the commodity currencies will stay strong whilst the big 3 will remain weak as they continue with QE;
- Interest rates in NZ remain highest of the majors and will stay that way for some time;
- No overt signs of a weakening in Chinese demand for NZ assets;
- AUD/NZD should run into strong technical resistance above 1.10;
- On the flip side, the NZD is undoubtedly in danger of a long overdue retracement and milk prices are weakening.
Until we get some stronger evidence that the NZD bull trend is over, I’m happier buying NZD/USD dips. I have no fixed levels in mind just yet, let’s wait and see how the price action is over the next few hours.