Open/Wrap – FXWW.com https://fxww.com The Professional Source Mon, 05 Oct 2015 05:07:51 +0000 en-US hourly 1 FXWW Frankfurt Open Marktbericht https://fxww.com/fxww-frankfurt-open-marktbericht/ Mon, 05 Oct 2015 05:07:51 +0000 http://381c099c8f.nxcli.net/?p=56449 Guten Morgen.

Die asiatischen Börsenmärkte stiegen über Nacht, inspiriert durch den Kursanstieg der amerikanischen Aktien am letzten Freitag. Der Nikkei und Hang Seng sind rund 1.90 % im Plus, während der australische ASX 200 mehr als 2 % dazulegte. Gold steht zurzeit bei $1135, leicht tiefer vom Schlusspreis der letzten Woche. Die Ölpreise fielen etwas über Nacht, nachdem Saudi-Arabien angekündigt hat ihre Preise für die US- und asiatischen Märkten erneut zu senken.

In den Devisenmärkten verlor der US Dollar leicht an Wert. EUR/USD startete die neue Handelswoche bei 1.1220. Es stieg auf ein Hoch von 1.1247 nach dem Toyko Open, aber fiel dann zurück auf 1.1220. GBP/USD öffnete bei 1.5185 und erreichte ein hoch von 1.5220. USD/JPY war sehr ruhig; es öffnete bei 120.00 and konsolidierte zwischen 119.85 und 120.10. AUD/USD startete bei 0.7060, stieg auf 0.7080 und steht nun erneut bei 0.7060.

Diese Woche werden wieder einmal die Zentralbanken im Mittelpunkt stehen. Am Dienstag entscheidet die australische Zentralbank über den Zinssatz und der Markt erwartet keine Veränderungen. Später an dem Tag wird die Schweiz ihre Inflationsrate bekannt geben und Kanada wird den Ivey PMI veröffentlichen. EZB-Präsident Mario Draghi wird am Abend dann eine Rede halten.

Am folgenden Tag bekommen wird dann die neuesten Nummern zur deutschen und britischen Industrieproduktions. Der Donnerstag bringt dann den chinesischen Services PMI, gefolgt vom Meeting der britischen Zentralbank und dem Veröffentlichung der EZB Besprechungsnotizen. Am Nachmittag sehen wird dann die US Initial Jobless Claims und am Abend wird die FOMC ihre Besprechungsnotizen öffentlich machen.

Source link: https://fxww.com/fxww-frankfurt-open-marktbericht/]]> FXWW – Frankfurt Open Briefing https://fxww.com/fxww-frankfurt-open-briefing/ Mon, 28 Sep 2015 06:35:58 +0000 http://381c099c8f.nxcli.net/?p=55143 Guten Morgen,

Der Nikkei 225 fiel 1.50 % über Nacht,  der Shanghai Index verlor 0.35 %, während der australische ASX um 1.25 % stieg. Der HKEX war geschlossen aufgrund eines Feiertages in Hong Kong.

In den Devisenmärkten stieg der Japanische Yen da die Stimmung an den Aktienmärkten noch immer etwas nervös ist. USD/JPY begann die neue Handelswoche bei 120.45, stieg auf 120.60 und fiel dann eventuell auf ein Tief von 120.15. Der Euro fiel leicht gegenüber dem US Dollar. EUR/USD erreichte ein Hoch von 1.1210 in Tokyo, aber stürzte dann kurz vor dem Beginn der europäischen Trading-Session auf 1.1170 herunter.

Die neue Handelswoche wird wieder einiges an wichtigen Wirtschafsdaten bringen. Im Mittelpunk wird heute die US Pending Home Sales stehen. Am folgenden Tag, bekommen wird dann die neuesten deutschen Inflationsraten, sowie die amerikanische Konsumstimmung.

Der Mittwoch bringt dann die deutsche Arbeitslosenquote, das britische Bruttoinlandsprodukt und die Inflationsrate der Euro-Zone. In der amerikanischen Handels-Session werden die Vereinigten Staaten das ADP Employment Change veröffentlichen, während Kanada ihr Bruttoinlandsprodukt bekannt geben wird.

Am Donnerstag werden die Händler dann auf die chinesischen Manufacturing & Services PMI warten, sowie auf die amerikanischen Erstanträge auf Arbeitslosenhilfe & den ISM Manufacturing PMI. Der Freitag bringt dann das meist erwartete Event der Woche – den monatlichen Bericht zum amerikanischen Arbeitsmarkt (NFP).

Viel Glück!

Source link: https://fxww.com/fxww-frankfurt-open-briefing/]]> FX Market Deutsches Briefing 21/09 https://fxww.com/fx-market-deutsches-briefing-2109/ Mon, 21 Sep 2015 06:46:15 +0000 http://381c099c8f.nxcli.net/?p=53835 Guten Morgen.

Die Asiatischen Börsenmärkte fielen leicht in der Nacht auf den Montag. Der Hang Seng verlor

um die 1 %, der australische ASX dagegen um die zwei Prozent. Aufgrund einer Reihe von

Feiertagen, sind die Japanischen Märkte geschlossen und werden am Donnerstag morgen

wieder öffnen.

In den Devisenmärkte, verlor der US Dollar leicht an Wert gegenüber den meisten

Hauptwährungen. EUR/USD begann die neue Handelswoche bei 1.1280 und stieg auf ein Hoch

von 1.1320 in Asien. Ähnliche Bewegungen gab es in GBP/USD, dass bei 1.5520 startete und auf

1.5545 kletterte. USD/JPY stand bei 120.10 im frühen Handel, kam dann aber unter Druck, was

durch die fallenden Aktienmärkte noch verstärkt wurde. Es fiel auf ein Tief von 119.70 und

Dealer berichten über Bids im Bereich von 119.50. Technischer Support kann bei 119.40 und

119.05 erwartet werden.

Die neue Woche wird eine faire Anzahl von wichtigen Wirtschaftsdaten und anderen Ereignissen

bringen. Heute wird die amerikanischen Existing Home Sales sowie die Rede vom Gouverneur

der kanadischen Zentralbank im Mittelpunkt stehen. Dienstag wird vergleichsweise ruhig, mit

dem Richmond Manufacturing Index als wichtigstem Ereignis des Tages. Mittwoch bringt dann

den chinesischen Manufacturing PMI, das französischen Bruttoinlandsprodukt und Services &

Manufacturing PMI-Daten von Deutschland, Frankreich und der Euro-Zone. Später im Tag

bekommen wird kanadische Retail Sales, amerikanische Manufacturing PMI sowie eine Rede

vom EZB-Präsidenten Mario Draghi. Am folgenden Tag, werden die neuesten deutschen IFO-

Daten veröffentlicht, sowie die amerikanischen Neubauverkäufe, Erstanträge auf

Arbeitslosenhilfe und Verkauf dauerhafter Güter. Zuletzt, am Freitag wird Japan ihre

Inflationsdaten herausgeben und die Vereinigten Staaten werden ihr Bruttoinlandsprodukt

bekannt machen.

Viel Glück!

Source link: https://fxww.com/fx-market-deutsches-briefing-2109/]]> EUR shorts squeezed but little change otherwise https://fxww.com/eur-shorts-squeezed-but-little-change-otherwise/ https://fxww.com/eur-shorts-squeezed-but-little-change-otherwise/#comments Thu, 06 Feb 2014 20:20:16 +0000 http://381c099c8f.nxcli.net/?p=11785 The post-ECB price action has seen weak trailing stops taken out in all of the EUR crosses and the only trend in EUR is a non-trend. The market is intent on being bearish but cannot seem to generate any momentum. Does this mean we are due at some stage for a massive sentiment-turning rally? Don’t know yet but it’s starting to look that way.

This morning’s main risk event will be the RBA monetary policy statement. AUD/USD looks to be short-term constructively bullish whilst above .8930 but Citi bank issued some research overnight suggesting that the bigger speculative players are close to neutral positioning. I still really like AUD/NZD higher to test 1.1000 in coming sessions.

USD/JPY is too hard for me and Cable is still bullish in my biased opinion.

Good luck today and TGIF.

Source link: https://fxww.com/eur-shorts-squeezed-but-little-change-otherwise/]]> https://fxww.com/eur-shorts-squeezed-but-little-change-otherwise/feed/ 2 Weak stops taken out overnight in EUR/USD and EUR/GBP https://fxww.com/weak-stops-taken-out-overnight-in-eurusd-and-eurgbp/ https://fxww.com/weak-stops-taken-out-overnight-in-eurusd-and-eurgbp/#respond Wed, 05 Feb 2014 20:26:49 +0000 http://381c099c8f.nxcli.net/?p=11774 No major developments overnight and most of the main currency pairs are close to yesterday’s levels. The retail market in particular was sitting a bit short of EUR and tight trailing stops were triggered in EUR/USD above 1.3535 and in EUR/GBP above .8325. I have no strong view on EUR/USD but I’m happy to sell any 50 pip rallies in the cross.

The focus will be back on AUD, NZD and JPY during Asian trade. Let’s see if we can’t find at least 1 reasonable trade opportunity!

Source link: https://fxww.com/weak-stops-taken-out-overnight-in-eurusd-and-eurgbp/]]> https://fxww.com/weak-stops-taken-out-overnight-in-eurusd-and-eurgbp/feed/ 0 Buy GBP, AUD dips; sell NZD, CAD rallies https://fxww.com/buy-gbp-aud-dips-sell-nzd-cad-rallies/ https://fxww.com/buy-gbp-aud-dips-sell-nzd-cad-rallies/#respond Tue, 04 Feb 2014 20:28:55 +0000 http://381c099c8f.nxcli.net/?p=11766
  • EUR/USD is at 1.3515 again today! Can’t see any reason to trade this pair;
  • Cable support above 1.6220 now confirmed and this level should be very important in the short-term;
  • I’m overall bearish still on EUR crosses and bullish on the GBP crosses;
  • Extreme positioning is still the most likely factor to drive the market in the short-term;
  • AUD/NZD is putting in a base imho. I booked a nice profit on my long position yesterday and am looking for dips to 1.0800 for a re-entry;
  • If you prefer the straight USD trade, then maybe look to sell NZD/USD near .8275;
  • JPY is too hard at the moment and I’m avoiding it. Market sentiment is bearish but the macro market is already positioned very short;
  • USD/CAD looks set to go to 1.17ish in the medium-term but I prefer to buy any exhaustive dips towards 1.0850.
    • Source link: https://fxww.com/buy-gbp-aud-dips-sell-nzd-cad-rallies/]]>     https://fxww.com/buy-gbp-aud-dips-sell-nzd-cad-rallies/feed/ 0     GBP crosses hit hard as trailing stops kick in; GBP/JPY technical support at 164.00 https://fxww.com/gbp-crosses-hit-hard-as-trailing-stops-kick-in-gbpjpy-technical-support-at-164-00/ https://fxww.com/gbp-crosses-hit-hard-as-trailing-stops-kick-in-gbpjpy-technical-support-at-164-00/#comments Mon, 03 Feb 2014 20:11:58 +0000 http://381c099c8f.nxcli.net/?p=11755 GBP/JPY was the main mover yesterday driven by a carnage of trailing stops across the board; USD/JPY stops below 101.70 were indeed sizeable, Cable stops post-data were also significant and of course the cross then started falling like a stone once it cleared 167.50.

    Be aware that there is solid technical support in GBP/JPY near 164.00 (38.2% retracement and 100-dma).

    EUR/GBP joined in the stop-loss fest but still remains in a solid medium-term downtrend.

    Cable support should be very firm at 1.6220 but a break below there will unleash more trailing stops.

    Source link: https://fxww.com/gbp-crosses-hit-hard-as-trailing-stops-kick-in-gbpjpy-technical-support-at-164-00/]]>     https://fxww.com/gbp-crosses-hit-hard-as-trailing-stops-kick-in-gbpjpy-technical-support-at-164-00/feed/ 5     Looking to emerging markets for leads https://fxww.com/looking-to-emerging-markets-for-leads/ https://fxww.com/looking-to-emerging-markets-for-leads/#respond Sun, 26 Jan 2014 20:09:29 +0000 http://381c099c8f.nxcli.net/?p=11717 Good morning all. Plenty of whip-saw movement at the end of last week mainly caused by a huge flight of capital out of emerging markets and continued doubts about China’s growth and 2nd-tier credit system. Articles such as this one from Reuters suggest that the capital flight out of EMs might only be beginning, and if that’s the case then pairs like GBP/JPY could be in for more serious retracements.

    • The fact that the big 61.8% retracement in USD/JPY at 105.50 held firm is looking increasingly relevant. The big downside levels to watch are a previous pivot at 101.60, the 100-dma near 101.00 and the very important 200-dma at 100.00;
    • The AUD remains under severe pressure across the board and there seems little point in trying to pick a bottom in it, except perhaps against the heavily overbought NZD;
    • The speculative community is quite long of GBP and events in the EMs may cause them to reconsider. Cable in a 1.6250/1.6650 short-term range so no need for panic selling or buying just now;
    • In times of panic, the EUR will tend to outperform many other majors, so further slow gains against the USD are certainly possible.
    Source link: https://fxww.com/looking-to-emerging-markets-for-leads/]]>     https://fxww.com/looking-to-emerging-markets-for-leads/feed/ 0     Risk sentiment will be main focus for today’s trade https://fxww.com/risk-sentiment-will-be-main-focus-for-todays-trade/ https://fxww.com/risk-sentiment-will-be-main-focus-for-todays-trade/#respond Thu, 23 Jan 2014 20:19:40 +0000 http://381c099c8f.nxcli.net/?p=11708 Stock-markets look shaky and USD/JPY got hit by waves of stop-loss selling so we could be in for a nervy risk-off Friday in Asia. AUD/JPY is sitting on important technical support at 90.00 and a clean break below there will surely trigger more stop-loss selling. Pairs like EUR/AUD have made very strong gains in the last 24 hours which tells us a lot about market sentiment and positioning. There isn’t much of note on the economic calendar so it will be all about positional adjustment. Good luck today and TGIF.

    Source link: https://fxww.com/risk-sentiment-will-be-main-focus-for-todays-trade/]]>     https://fxww.com/risk-sentiment-will-be-main-focus-for-todays-trade/feed/ 0     Big data events looming later today https://fxww.com/big-data-events-looming-later-today/ https://fxww.com/big-data-events-looming-later-today/#respond Tue, 14 Jan 2014 07:09:26 +0000 http://381c099c8f.nxcli.net/?p=11598
  • Most of today’s action was in regional stockmarkets which were up to 3% lower;
  • USD/JPY rallied 50 pips in early trade on reports of a big M&A deal;
  • The NZD was well supported by strong business confidence data;
  • Plenty of big risk events later today with UK CPI and US retail sales (calendar).
    • Source link: https://fxww.com/big-data-events-looming-later-today/]]>     https://fxww.com/big-data-events-looming-later-today/feed/ 0     Positional adjustment still the name of the game https://fxww.com/positional-adjustment-still-the-name-of-the-game/ https://fxww.com/positional-adjustment-still-the-name-of-the-game/#respond Mon, 13 Jan 2014 20:21:48 +0000 http://381c099c8f.nxcli.net/?p=11585 First things first, if you’re looking for intraday trading ideas then either ignore what I say or even better still, do the opposite! My 3 cheap-n-cheerful ideas from yesterday were all losers so obviously I’m not reading the short-term market very well.

    The markets’ big GBP longs against the AUD and JPY are presently being reduced and although the trends remain in place, we will have to sit tight and see how far the retracement can take us.

    Today’s economic calendar will be quiet again  and we will rely on further positional adjustment for volatility.

    Good luck today.

    Source link: https://fxww.com/positional-adjustment-still-the-name-of-the-game/]]>     https://fxww.com/positional-adjustment-still-the-name-of-the-game/feed/ 0     Focus remains firmly on the crosses https://fxww.com/focus-remains-firmly-on-the-crosses/ https://fxww.com/focus-remains-firmly-on-the-crosses/#comments Thu, 09 Jan 2014 20:32:38 +0000 http://381c099c8f.nxcli.net/?p=11558
  • Significant reports that China was selling NZD/USD in overnight trade near .8270
  • AUD/NZD support at 1.0730 was tested and held firm;
  • EUR is pretty much unchanged after an ‘as expected’ ECB;
  • GBP remains strong and there seems little need to challenge this trend at the moment;
  • The JPY remains heavily oversold against many other majors but as yet no sign of a massive buy-back;
  • CAD stays weak and depending on what happens at the NFP later today, a move to 1.10 in USD/CAD seems to be on the cards.

    •  

    Source link: https://fxww.com/focus-remains-firmly-on-the-crosses/]]>     https://fxww.com/focus-remains-firmly-on-the-crosses/feed/ 3     Levels to watch in Asian trade, Monday December 16th https://fxww.com/levels-to-watch-in-asian-trade-monday-december-16th/ https://fxww.com/levels-to-watch-in-asian-trade-monday-december-16th/#respond Sun, 15 Dec 2013 20:59:18 +0000 http://381c099c8f.nxcli.net/?p=11378
  • Cable: Looks like 1.6240/50 is looming as the big level to watch here and a break below could see many longs bailing out;
  • USD/JPY has had a quiet start to the week and will need to break outside of a 102.95/103.40 range in order to find its next short-term directional bias;
  • The AUD has made a modest recovery on some of the crosses but AUD/USD remains heavy and sell orders are already reported between .8980/.9020;
  • EUR/USD has stalled its recent up-trend after it ran into heavy Sovereign selling interest but all now depends on Wednesday’s FOMC. Intra-day support/resistance now at 1.3700/60.

    • Good luck today.

    Source link: https://fxww.com/levels-to-watch-in-asian-trade-monday-december-16th/]]>     https://fxww.com/levels-to-watch-in-asian-trade-monday-december-16th/feed/ 0     USD likely to stay bid through the holiday period https://fxww.com/usd-likely-to-stay-bid-through-the-holiday-period/ https://fxww.com/usd-likely-to-stay-bid-through-the-holiday-period/#comments Thu, 12 Dec 2013 19:50:48 +0000 http://381c099c8f.nxcli.net/?p=11369
  • Most of the big recent moves have been in the crosses but the USD is looking increasingly likely to enjoy an end-of-year surge;
  • EUR, GBP and CHF have made strong gains in recent months and could easily enter a period of consolidation;
  • Most of the USD gains have been coming against the AUD and the JPY, and the CAD and NZD may soon start to play catch-up;
  • Tapering is most likely to begin in January but some token effort is certainly possible next Wednesday.

    • I’ll run through the individual currencies over the next few hours but from a risk reward standpoint, long USD/CAD and short NZD/USD are looking favourable.

    Good luck today, and TGIF even if it’s Friday the 13th.

    Source link: https://fxww.com/usd-likely-to-stay-bid-through-the-holiday-period/]]>     https://fxww.com/usd-likely-to-stay-bid-through-the-holiday-period/feed/ 1     Recent bullish trends in EUR/JPY, GBP/AUD etc remain in place https://fxww.com/recent-bullish-trends-in-eurjpy-gbpaud-etc-remain-in-place/ https://fxww.com/recent-bullish-trends-in-eurjpy-gbpaud-etc-remain-in-place/#respond Mon, 09 Dec 2013 20:25:30 +0000 http://381c099c8f.nxcli.net/?p=11331
  • EUR, GBP and CHF still in high demand;
  • AUD, JPY, and CAD are still out of favour;
  • Liquidity remains decent but will start to thin out next week at the latest;
  • Today’s economic calendar http://www.fxstreet.com/economic-calendar/;
  • I’d suggest buying dips in GBP/JPY today during Asian trade.
    • Source link: https://fxww.com/recent-bullish-trends-in-eurjpy-gbpaud-etc-remain-in-place/]]>     https://fxww.com/recent-bullish-trends-in-eurjpy-gbpaud-etc-remain-in-place/feed/ 0     Quick wrap of the Asian session https://fxww.com/quick-wrap-of-the-asian-session/ https://fxww.com/quick-wrap-of-the-asian-session/#comments Mon, 09 Dec 2013 05:42:49 +0000 http://381c099c8f.nxcli.net/?p=11327
  • EUR/USD traded to highs at 1.3748 in very thin early interbank trade;
  • EUR/JPY stops were triggered above technical resistance (61.8% retracement) at 141.00;
  • CHF/JPY continued on its vertical path with no-one quite sure what’s behind it;
  • AUD continued to exhibit weakness on the crosses, led by AUD/NZD and EUR/AUD;
  • AUD recovered for a short while after the USD/CNY was fixed at record lows but the sellers soon returned;
  • WSJ Hilsenrath says that tapering is becoming an increasing possibility;
  • NY Times disagreed, saying tapering still months away.
    • Source link: https://fxww.com/quick-wrap-of-the-asian-session/]]>     https://fxww.com/quick-wrap-of-the-asian-session/feed/ 2     Today’s highlights from the FXWW-Reuters chat-room https://fxww.com/todays-highlights-from-the-fxww-reuters-chat-room/ https://fxww.com/todays-highlights-from-the-fxww-reuters-chat-room/#respond Thu, 28 Nov 2013 07:25:48 +0000 http://381c099c8f.nxcli.net/?p=11230 Once again apologies to all those awaiting access but we should have it sorted out very soon (as you know, IT stands for Irish Time 🙂 ).

    ”

    Sean Lee FXWW

    06:55:51

    GBP/AUD continues to accelerate higher and the next target for mine is weekly highs just below 1.8500.
    GBPAUD= – Screenshot.png
    GBPAUD= – DesktopObject.xml
    07:08:51

    AUD/USD stalling thus far at 76.4% pullback level https://www.tradingview.com/x/nfQee9AI/
    08:09:46

    AUD/USD: Hearing from 2 sources that end-of-month demand expected to be positive over next 2 days. Certaily doesn’t look like it at moment but if markets thin down for Thanksgiving w/e then might have an effect
    08:35:46

    Citi FX Wire (Story)
    Nov 28

    Peter Whitley Thomson Reuters

    08:48:36

    CitiFX Techs stopped on short GBPUSD position at 1.6330.
    – (The position was established at 1.6178 yesterday)
    08:48:54

    Hard to go against a firm trend at the moment.
    Nov 28

    FXWW 888 FXWW Pty Ltd

    08:58:57

    peter I think they lowered the stop to 1.6275 in London session
    08:59:58

    but yes – same result
    Nov 28

    Sean Lee FXWW

    09:06:24

    I’d expect cable to be toppy 16320/30 during Asia with usual profit-takers emerging and of course dips to 16260 will attract technical buyers. Probably won’t even be that wide given that Thanksgiving hols tonight in US but we live in hope
    Nov 28

    Eric Huang Thomson Reuters

    09:19:59

    Brazil’s CB just raises rate to 10%, decision was unanimous… Dollar Real was up more than 3 big figures overnight…
    Screenshot.png
    Nov 28

    FXWW 888 FXWW Pty Ltd

    09:26:04

    worth keeping an eye on these levels just above in gbpnzd too…
    https://www.tradingview.com/x/1scRz7Kd/
    09:27:03

    Nov 28

    Sean Lee FXWW

    09:30:34

    We will definitely see more macro positioning adjustments if it starts trading back above 2.00
    Nov 28

    FXWW 888 FXWW Pty Ltd

    09:50:45

    yes I’d say the real money guys switching out of uk n into kiwi bonds in the low 1.80s will be starting to reassess
    Nov 28

    Sean Lee FXWW

    09:50:56

    RBNZ headlines on Reuters; too early to aqssess impact of LVR restrictions
    Screenshot.png
    Nov 28

    FXWW 888 FXWW Pty Ltd

    09:52:04

    yes think ANZ getting a bit excited talking abt jan 14 rate hokes
    09:55:37

    hikes also
    11:02:41

    altho u can’t argue the data coming out of nz is v good looking at that latest biz confidence
    11:04:41

    New Zealand firms recorded a further lift in their overall level of optimism about the general economy. The general business confidence measure lifted from +53 in October to +61 in November, just shy of a fifteen-year high for the series. On a major divisional basis the retail sector recorded the largest lift in confidence in November, rising from +48 to +70, the highest across the five major divisions and the sector’s highest reading since July 1994. A fresh record was also set at the other end of the sectoral scale. The agriculture sector reported the lowest level of business confidence, but at +51, it has been nearly 20 years since the lowest sectoral level of optimism was this high.
    Nov 28

    Eric Huang Thomson Reuters

    11:35:59

    we have got strong building Capex, and Cap Capex in Q3; AUD/USD high so far is at 0.9116; I won’t be surprised if there is more upside to run given the short AUD trades are getting crowded…
    ECONAU – Screenshot.png
    ECONAU – DesktopObject.xml
    Nov 28

    Anjaney Kumar Punjab National Bank

    12:12:19

    good mrng everyone and thank u all …:)
    Nov 28

    FXWW 888 FXWW Pty Ltd

    13:25:11

    couple of sharp props selling euryen against 2009 highs for decent retrace
    Nov 28

    Sean Lee FXWW

    13:43:17

    AUD/NZD stalled again at 1.1200 on spike; might be worth selling with tight stop above 1.1210
    14:37:15

    USD/JPY: Earlier in the week the big PBs were reporting heavy sell orders starting above 102.25. Looks like they are still there as 26 was high
    Nov 28

    FXWW 42 FXWW Pty Ltd

    15:16:01

    nomura on capex.pdf (193.6 kB) Overall, the report was better than expected and, with mining investment increasing on the quarter; it signals that the peak in mining investment may be delayed.
    Nov 28

    Anjaney Kumar Punjab National Bank

    15:23:00

    tx 42… have reason to go wid aud atleast fr short term
    Nov 28

    FXWW 42 FXWW Pty Ltd

    15:27:01

    chart keeps telling me ‘a very dangerous proposition’ … Id like to see the kumo top (just below 9150) on the hourly broken first, but even if that occurs, next critical mission is to conquer 0.9190/92. Only above 0.92/9210 we start to have a more constructive picture.
    Nov 28

    Anjaney Kumar Punjab National Bank

    15:28:42

    tx..
    Nov 28

    John Webb Market News

    17:12:24

    OPTIONS: Option expiries for today’s NY cut 1000ET. Large(L), Very Large(VL),
    * Dollar-yen; Y101.00, Y101.50, Y102.00
    * Euro-dollar; $1.3450, $1.3500, $1.3525, $1.3550, $1.3570, $1.3600, $1.3700,
    $1.3710
    Nov 28

    Sean Lee FXWW

    17:20:22

    Morning John, end-of-month flows expected to be USD negative with EUR, GBP and AUD benefitting according to what I’m hearing
    17:20:44

    Local guys bought AUD/USD ahead of Fixes in expectation
    17:21:36

    Cable in s/t 1.6260/1.6330 range but will eventually break higher I would think; my target is at 1.6410
    Nov 28

    John Webb Market News

    17:21:39

    yes have reports from Citi and Barx supporting that view
    17:21:50

    fix views that is
    17:23:43

    in cable have $1.6376 as a short term target, 1.618% swing proj of the move back from $1.6331 to $1.6258, brings the $1.6381 2013 high into view as well …would want to see a break of $1.6331 before I got excited about that call though
    17:24:48

    was told yesterday watch for E/$ downside Friday…no reason given but we have EZ CPI Friday morning which could spark up some interest if it comes in below expectations again
    Nov 28

    Sean Lee FXWW

    17:27:12

    Txs Brillo, yep mkt having lot of trouble getting bullish EUR/USD, so must be headed higher!!
    Nov 28

    Curtis Miller Thomson Reuters

    17:31:43

    Money flow still showing Aussie buying interest at current levels
    AUD=D2 – Screenshot.png
    AUD=D2 – DesktopObject.xml
    Nov 28

    Milan Cutkovic FXWW

    Nov 28

    FXWW 999 FXWW PTY ltd.

    17:39:24

    Japan’s GPIF will announce its investment results for last quarter as early as tomorrow, as it considers shifting more of its 121 trillion yen to private equity, commodities, real-estate investment trusts and overseas assets.
    Nov 28

    Sean Lee FXWW

    17:55:02

    Japan FinMin no comment on FX rates
    Screenshot.png
    18:00:11

    Barclays summary of month end flows: FX Month-end rebalancing analysis

    The market value of US equity markets have seen sharp increases since the end of October despite the selloff in US bonds (Figure 1). The relative movements are best explained by the better US economic data and dovish rhetoric from the Fed aimed at delinking any decision to taper asset purchases from potential rate hikes in the future. Outside of the US, equity markets elsewhere were mixed with only Japan registering gains. The rally in euro area bond markets has persisted since the ECB cut interest rates at the start of the month as expectations for further action continues to build. The movement in US markets dominates these, however. The rebalancing of FX hedges at month-end are expected to yield a mild/modest USD sell signal (Figure 2) with the stronger signal being versus the EUR.

    Nov 28

    John Webb Market News

    18:08:59

    CitiFX Wire.. EUR lower after German import pricesEURUSD has shed around 10 pips after German October import prices fell 0.7% MoM (expected -0.3%); these appear to have been taken as a barometer for the CPI data later. EURUSD is now 1.3572.
    Nov 28

    Milan Cutkovic FXWW

    18:16:52

    CIBC:
    18:16:56

    Australian dollar rose on back of better capital expenditure. Stop loss trigger above 0.9130 brought us up to high of 0.9141. There is an interesting story in FT about the report by Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics revealing that investments in Australia’s mining industry has fallen by $3bn to $240bn. Aud stayed around 0.9125-30 into Tokyo break; some sell orders are reported at 0.9150 with weak stops near 0.9175.

    UsdJpy backed off towards 102.00 partly due to Nikkei paring gains and partly on the Aussie rally. Market is aware of stops placed under 101.85 coming from interbank accounts; offers lined up ahead of the 102.50-option barrier.

    Very dull on the Euro front; there has been some talk of a small Asian central bank selling near 1.3610 but don’t think it is sizeable. Some banks mentioned renewed offers at 1.3590 up to 1.3620.

    Source link: https://fxww.com/todays-highlights-from-the-fxww-reuters-chat-room/]]>     https://fxww.com/todays-highlights-from-the-fxww-reuters-chat-room/feed/ 0     Quiet start to interbank trading week https://fxww.com/quiet-start-to-interbank-trading-week-3/ https://fxww.com/quiet-start-to-interbank-trading-week-3/#comments Sun, 24 Nov 2013 20:09:04 +0000 http://381c099c8f.nxcli.net/?p=11189 EUR/USD is trading at 1.3550, USD/JPY at 101.30, cable at 1.6230 and AUD/USD is at .9160.

    All of the focus remains on the crosses with the GBP staying very strong and dragging the EUR along with it whilst the AUD, NZD and JPY are the weaklings amongst the majors.

    The big level to watch today will be 1.6260 resistance in the cable and USD/JPY has a daily high at 101.60 which will surely attract some selling interest.

    Source link: https://fxww.com/quiet-start-to-interbank-trading-week-3/]]>     https://fxww.com/quiet-start-to-interbank-trading-week-3/feed/ 6     EUR/JPY: 135.50 still key level amongst major pairs https://fxww.com/eurjpy-135-50-still-key-level-amongst-major-pairs/ https://fxww.com/eurjpy-135-50-still-key-level-amongst-major-pairs/#respond Mon, 18 Nov 2013 19:53:02 +0000 http://381c099c8f.nxcli.net/?p=11114 At first glance, it would seem that very little happened overnight. The EUR has strengthened marginally on the crosses from European opening levels but there is little or no momentum in any direction.

    • EUR/JPY resistance at 135.50 remains a key level and a break above there will certainly change the nature of the market in all major pairs;
    • AUD/NZD support at 1.1190 is another important level to watch;
    • Latest minutes from the RBA will be released this morning and could generate some short-term momentum.
    Source link: https://fxww.com/eurjpy-135-50-still-key-level-amongst-major-pairs/]]>     https://fxww.com/eurjpy-135-50-still-key-level-amongst-major-pairs/feed/ 0     Quiet start to the interbank trading week https://fxww.com/quiet-start-to-the-interbank-trading-week/ https://fxww.com/quiet-start-to-the-interbank-trading-week/#comments Sun, 17 Nov 2013 19:16:02 +0000 http://381c099c8f.nxcli.net/?p=11103
  • Market remains moderately bullish for USD according to latest CFTC positioning data;
  • Prime brokers report that long USD/JPY is still the speculators favourite position;
  • Market still doesn’t believe the long cable story, making me even more convinced that we go higher;
  • EUR/JPY resistance looming at 135.50 (see chart);
  • Short-term AUD/USD resistance also looming at .9385
  • No change to majors from Friday night, with USD/JPY at 100.30, EUR/USD at 1.3490, cable at 1.6120 and AUD/USD at .9375.
    • Source link: https://fxww.com/quiet-start-to-the-interbank-trading-week/]]>     https://fxww.com/quiet-start-to-the-interbank-trading-week/feed/ 2