Comments on: Abe and the Yen: This better be more than just verbal intervention! https://fxww.com/abe-and-the-yen-this-better-be-more-than-just-verbal-intervention/ The Professional Source Fri, 11 Jan 2013 02:33:25 +0000 hourly 1 By: Sean Lee https://fxww.com/abe-and-the-yen-this-better-be-more-than-just-verbal-intervention/#comment-14210 Fri, 11 Jan 2013 02:33:25 +0000 http://fxww.dreamhosters.com/?p=4380#comment-14210 Txs fxgai, be sure to let us know if you hear any rumblings of BOJ disquiet

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By: fxgai https://fxww.com/abe-and-the-yen-this-better-be-more-than-just-verbal-intervention/#comment-14209 Fri, 11 Jan 2013 02:11:35 +0000 http://fxww.dreamhosters.com/?p=4380#comment-14209 GBP/JPY is already 100 pips down from it’s highs earlier today. Interesting price action for the Asian session.

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By: fxgai https://fxww.com/abe-and-the-yen-this-better-be-more-than-just-verbal-intervention/#comment-14207 Fri, 11 Jan 2013 02:08:29 +0000 http://fxww.dreamhosters.com/?p=4380#comment-14207 It’s amazing the credibility that Abe has been shown to have in the market, given that he failed miserably as PM in his first outing. He was the first of 6 Japanese PMs to quit or be voted out after approx 1 year in office. He’s on a roll right now, but can he live up to whatever the expectations are…

Besides his big talk, all of his fiscal policies are totally back to the past.

That’s a yen negative I suppose – Abe’s policies are likely going to bring forward the day of reckoning for Japan’s public finances. Coupled with looser monetary policy and perhaps it does make sense that the yen is going down (at least until the new BOJ governor is revealed and shows his/her hand).

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By: Nachiket https://fxww.com/abe-and-the-yen-this-better-be-more-than-just-verbal-intervention/#comment-14205 Fri, 11 Jan 2013 01:55:12 +0000 http://fxww.dreamhosters.com/?p=4380#comment-14205 i guess what abe has done is a slap on the face of bernanke. he was thinking he is the only wise central banker in the world

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By: Nachiket https://fxww.com/abe-and-the-yen-this-better-be-more-than-just-verbal-intervention/#comment-14204 Fri, 11 Jan 2013 01:53:45 +0000 http://fxww.dreamhosters.com/?p=4380#comment-14204 eur/jpy has rallied from 93.50 to 118.50 and more to come.2500 pips for 5 months. 500 pips on average. wow. i think the euro is still underbought and can go to 1.35 this will take eur/jpy to 121 or so.

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By: fxgai https://fxww.com/abe-and-the-yen-this-better-be-more-than-just-verbal-intervention/#comment-14202 Fri, 11 Jan 2013 01:46:41 +0000 http://fxww.dreamhosters.com/?p=4380#comment-14202 Jim O’Neill has been going on about Japan for the last few months now, he seems to think this is a big trend change, and is looking for 100-120 in 12-24 months.

The thing is, I don’t know what sort of action the non-Japanese are expecting from the BOJ.

A 2% inflation target is a must now, but just having a target doesn’t mean it will get achieved. The BOJ introduced a 1% target last year but that didn’t do much, although it did produce that nice rally in the early months of the year.

But this time around, exactly how much QE or whatever will the BOJ need to do to satiate the trend? Does QE really help anyway?

I’ve not read a thing for any Japanese analyst who believes this story.

Macro side though Japan is running a trade deficit at the moment. In the past any yen cross rally would be hammered down by Japanese exporters, but with importers in control I suppose it has given the yen more room to fall.

There aren’t many dips, but buying them, such as the one earlier this week, seems to be the best strategy at the moment.

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