99% of the market is now bearish EUR/GBP which does suggest that we may be in for a relief rally; We are hearing increasingly loud rumblings out of Germany that they will seek to contain any extreme ECB easing measures; Option barriers are reported at .8050, and again at .8000; The cable market is long

The NZD is still looking a bit soft overall and that is also having an adverse impact on the AUD. Iron ore prices were hit pretty hard yesterday after credit lines were tightened and the continuing unrest in the Ukraine is affecting risk sentiment. AUD/USD is making fresh hourly lows but I remain very firmly

I really should have listened to my instinct yesterday when everything was screaming at me that the Yen crosses were set to turn lower. Call it post-BOJ blues or whatever you like, the market is overly short of Yen and due for a squeeze. I’m still well in the money on this trade and as

No matter what anyone says, trading does involve an element of luck. When things are really going your way, those ‘flyer’ take-profit orders get executed and then it’s easy to sit on the bid on dips and re-load. My ‘flyer’ order above 172.00 didn’t quite get done and now we are over 100 pips lower.

I’ve been short since Monday morning and USD/CAD is again testing last Friday’s lows at 1.0935. Goldman Sachs reckon that support should be very strong at 1.0880 and that bulls remain in control until 1.0840 breaks, so I will be watching those levels with interest. I’ve lowered my stop now to 1.1030 so it will

These have been two of the more persistent bear trends in the crosses in recent months but both pairs are starting to show signs that a ‘bottom’ may be in place. AUD/NZD has some sizeable topside potential in my biased opinion and once the current 1.0725/1.0925 consolidation is breached, I’m expecting this pair to regain

I’ve got a fixed take profit order at 172.15 on last week’s long position and with EUR/GBP possibly looking to form a base, I think it makes sense to reduce GBP

I’ve been short this pair for months but the fact that we’ve consistently stalled at a major technical support level near .8150 (61.8% retracement of .7750/.8810) must be taken seriously; I will re-instate if this level is comprehensively broken; I remain long and moderately bullish on cable but we may well see extended consolidation 1.65/1.68

I’m still long of this pair and feel very comfortable being long GBP across the board. I’ve adjusted my short-term targets and will look to book profits if we get any exhaustive spikes towards 172.00/20. I’m keeping my stop-loss well below the market but if we start trading regularly below 169.80 then I may re-assess

My track record in the CAD is abysmal but all signals are pointing lower and I’m trying a top-picking short position near 1.0990. I’ll keep it fairly tight for now and will re-assess if we break back above

One market which has made a compelling statement in my opinion is Silver. We had been watching the $20.50 level for months and finally, after a few false alarms, the big break happened. More gains are likely now and I’d look to trade a $21/$25 range in coming weeks with a bullish

As you are no doubt sick of hearing, I’ve been long and bullish GBP for some months now. I still think that EUR/GBP is headed to .75/.77 but what I’m not sure about is whether this moves mainly happens through a higher GBP/USD or a lower EUR/USD? Probably a bit of both. I’m expecting cable

Longs in play from yesterday at 168.50; Will book interim profits if we see sharp intraday spikes to 171.00; Strong support should develop now at 168.25/40 and buying dips is the overall strategy for

I’m already running core long positions in GBP against the EUR and the USD, so perhaps its time to add the JPY as well. My sense is that the market really wants to buy risk trades and whilst I’d love to trade GBP/CHF instead, I’ve just had too many non-events with the Swissy in recent

Obviously the GBP bull trend is getting reasonably mature but on a long-term view it remains reasonably cheap against a number of the other majors and so I’m happy to stay in dip-buying mode. It’s hard to see any clear value trades at current levels but cable support at 1.6210/25 has proven to be pretty

Like I mentioned below, current moves in the FX market are being driven by positional liquidation; The market is short of AUD/NZD and there is no major technical resistance until 100 pips higher at 1.0910/20; With the RBA decision due early this afternoon, might we get a short-squeeze? I prefer to play the cross from

Don’t get me wrong, I’m long and think that we go quite a bit higher in the longish-term, but the down trend has been strong and will fight back when the conditions are right. There is strong technical resistance around 1.0900, (a 38.2% Fibo, the 55-dma and a previous high), and I would expect resistance

Trend-line and a 61.8% retracement level converge near 1.4870 (see chart); If buying this dip, keep stops fairly tight as it is risk-off Friday and some stock-markets are looking very