Tony Abbott will present a major speech to the Press Club later this evening and many expert analysts are predicting that his immediate political future will depend on his performance. His ruling Liberal Party suffered a humiliating defeat in weekend state elections and Mr Abbott has fallen out of favour with his own party after some recent ‘gaffes’.
This will add to short-term volatility for the AUD as no-one likes uncertainty.
Tomorrow’s RBA decision will of course also add to the uncertainty and whilst all the weekend papers seem convinced that the RBA will cut rates, I personally don’t think they absolutely need to and therefore won’t (although the statement will undoubtedly be more dovish).