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Month-end flows expected to be overall USD negative #FXWWchatroom

Posted on - October 31, 2014 5:38 pm (Australia/Sydney) | 0 Comments
Both Citi and Barclays are predicting that overall month-end flows will be moderately USD bearish with the possible exception of USD/JPY, which Barclays sees as neutral. From the FXWW chatroom on Reuters Messenger.

USD/JPY: Looking to build medium-term shorts into 50% retracement level at 111.65

Posted on - October 31, 2014 5:13 pm (Australia/Sydney) | 4 Comments
The market was certainly taken by surprise by the BOJ’s additional easing but a closer look at the fine print may suggest that this is not such a big deal (robbing Peter to pay Paul so to speak). I will try fading the rally into the medium-term technical resistance level at 111.65 (50% 147.50/75.50). This […]

EUR/USD: Selling relief rallies still ‘safest’ play

Posted on - October 31, 2014 7:31 am (Australia/Sydney) | 0 Comments
There is little sign of the USD up-trend to start easing off and we are again approaching some big optionality levels, 110 in USD/JPY and 1.2500 in EUR/USD. The speculative market is undoubtedly short of EUR/USD, with good reason, so the downtrend is likely to continue with occasional stop-loss driven spikes higher. Interbank sources report […]

How to Stalk a Low Risk/ High Reward Trade

Posted on - October 30, 2014 7:37 pm (Australia/Sydney) | 0 Comments
“Although the cheetah is the fastest animal in the world and can catch any animal on the plains, it will wait until it is absolutely sure it can catch its prey. It may hide in the bush for a week, waiting for just the right moment. It will wait for a baby antelope, and not […]

RBNZ intervention data due out today #FXWWchatroom

Posted on - October 30, 2014 9:36 am (Australia/Sydney) | 0 Comments
09:00:02 RBNZ FX intervention data due out today at 0200GMT Oct 30 09:12:47 Thanks Peter – here is the link…. the figure in the bottom right hand corner of the table is the one to look out for. . http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/statistics/tables/f5/
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