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GBP starting to settle now that result is becoming clear

Posted on - September 19, 2014 2:31 pm (Australia/Sydney) | 0 Comments
The 54:46 YouGov prediction from earlier today looks very likely to come true and the GBP has begun to settle down after a 150 pip run higher against most of the other majors. Will it be a case of ‘buy the rumour sell the fact’? Cable has butted its nose against 1.6520 on at least […]

Last YouGov prediction: 54% No, 46% Yes

Posted on - September 19, 2014 7:32 am (Australia/Sydney) | 0 Comments
Cable is back above 1.6400 as vote-counting commences.

GBP: No vote looking very very likely

Posted on - September 19, 2014 6:42 am (Australia/Sydney) | 0 Comments
The GBP has continued to recover over the last 12 hours and the No-to-independence vote looks certain to prevail. There are unlikely to be any major news developments for the next 5/6 hours (polls close shortly) but we can still expect the GBP to trade skittishly. Keep a close eye on the ticker tape. If […]

USD/JPY: Plenty of headwinds ahead of 109.00

Posted on - September 19, 2014 6:34 am (Australia/Sydney) | 0 Comments
Very large offers were spotted overnight on interbank platforms on the approach to 109.00, confirming that there will be significant defence of barrier options at that level. Bids are likely to be pretty solid now at 108.10/20. It is risk-off Friday, so we may get some position reduction ahead of the weekend. Perhaps some consolidative […]

GBP: Was Betfair election pay-out just a marketing exercise

Posted on - September 18, 2014 5:27 pm (Australia/Sydney) | 0 Comments
There is some suggestion in the marketplace that the Betfair early pay-out on the Scottish independence referendum was done more out of marketing reasons than on any voting conviction. Pretty good piece of marketing if that was the case! GBP has rallied strongly especially against the EUR and JPY in recent sessions on the presumption […]
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